Irrationally mad decision making to obtain the American Dream.

NYX

Human Resoures – Not an easy job. Stocks – AAPL, SWN

Recently I’ve just started a fasttrack college course for an upper level Human Resources class. HR is much harder then I expected. I thought it would be cake! I give HR people much more credit now having to understand all the laws, rules, and regulations on hiring and planning your workforce. Being an HR takes brains I do not have to spare.

For stocks AAPL @ $138 has just been waiting for something to make it move. The news of its 1 millionth iPhone sale is good news to my options which are now in the negative again since I did not sell them when God gave me the choice to up a couple grand. I’m going to stick to my guns about AAPL stock moving much higher. I have to admit the $10 g’s I put into the options can not lose since that money is needed for another mobile home park I’m interested in buying. AAPL currently has a strong upward trend and I count on it to move much higher into Oct if more, many more, iPhones are sold. It’s a hot product and with the price reduction it should sell much more because a new “i” trend product. I’d like to make $20 g’s on AAPL options move the initial $10 g’s out into my escrow for my down payment and use the profits to buy more options. Another stock moving right along which has 100% broken it’s downward trend is SWN. SWN @ $42 now is steadily moving up with new $80 oil highs. Historically both stocks AAPL and SWN and NTRI have moved up end of August into October.

Currently I’m in “C” school for my military rate. It’s awesome. I’d really like to live the college dorm life even in my 30’s. Good food, exercise, computers labs, and young beautiful women. It doesn’t get much better then this. I feel so relaxed and no stress bothering me except getting business deals completed and selling out of stocks profitably.

So far I was wrong about SWN options since I bought them way way too early in Aug and now in Sept they will expire when the stock is just started to move up the past 6 days.
My NYX options that end is Sept have no chance since the stock is so hated. NYX should be a powerhouse and maybe one day it will be trading very high, but for now it doesn’t move past the $80’s.

I’m keeping an eye on NTRI which has moved down to $48 and now strong up into the $55’s. RIG @ $105 is still in the .31 PEG. Unbelieveable if you ask me.

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stock market correction = uptrending

If you are a stock market follower you’d notice the different wording journalist are using such as “optimistic” that we hit our low just recently last Thursday Aug 16 to be exact. I was watching the market as AAPL was hitting $112’s and NYX was hitting $65’s. I was drawing my support lines because after the big red candle dropped a big white candle stood right next to it top to bottom and went right up with buyers looking for a golden opportunities. Since I’m still a student I really did not know which direction the market would go. On Friday stocks popped higher creating a doji star showing the market made up its mind. So now for the past almost 6 days the market has ran up with white candles breaking the downward trend since July 15th. I’m currently in AAPL JAN 200 CALLS up around 30% in my options +$3000 in 2 business days. I’m not going to sell at some crazy high number, but I am going to follow the major uptrend line until it is broken or bad news comes out, other wise I’m stick to my play. I’m very confident in Apple and until their next earnings call I’m going to trade it up to earnings or until I’m happy with my profit. I’d also love to be in SHLD and RIG Calls, but I’ve been taught to be in only one trade at a time even if there are other opportunities available. I need to stick to the rules and show some discipline or I’m never going to become a great trader.

Currently I’ve been looking at a trailor park to buy for $190,000. I’ve talked to many experts in this field and the price looks very good for what I’m getting which would be an 18 lot, 2.37 acre, with 18 park owned homes rented for $350-450 each, with all utilities established. It is around 20 minutes away from University of eastern Tennessee (Johnson City, TN). I’d really like to do the deal, but I want to get an outside property manager if I buy it. This is the advice I’ve gotten basically to get rid of any favoritism within the park. It would make some serious cashflow to my real estate portfolio. Between the 2 trailor parks I will eventually be receiving around a $50k net income a year more than my U.S. Coast Guard income so it would finally give me the choice of retirement at age 29. I still want to be a great trader, but it would give me choice even if I did not trade stock options.

I’m almost done with my 3 classes at HPU and will start another 5 online in the next two semesters. I want to double major by 2009 then do some pastry or music school or both when I get out. 2007 has been a very volatile year for my portfolio and my goal is to come out higher than last years or at least breaking even. Many of my penny stocks are worthless so I will have to sell them soon or I will be paying some serious taxes from gains I do not have anymore. Trends are looking good and the technicals are showing major buying right now so look out!


HOKU, AAPL, SWN, NYX – Latest news on the trailor park

After HOKU earnings the stock plummeted to $8 and I totally expected it to fall. Everyone knew they weren’t going to show a profit and it is still very much a speculation stock because it hasn’t been able to start production yet. I’m with Jim Crammer about people rebuying it at a lower price and it moves up again throughout the year on its speculation of being the #1 for alternative energy. Our world is moving in that direction so I could only expect growth. As for AAPL it’s iPhone has been a success, but the market is turning over and its stock is finally starting to become submissive to all the selling. I’d buy AAPL later, but I see it moving much further down into the possible $110’s before it moves into the $200’s. If AAPL is able to continue momentum then I’d buy Calls on it if it moves past $150. Then it will be fighting the selling, but investors are true believers in it. It’s PEG score also has moved down to around 1.66 from over 2.00. So its value has gone up as well with its super profitable earnings. SWN’s charts have been showing a flip to oil/gas companies. Its major trend on the Daily and Weekly are going down with all smaller charts. Just yesterday it bumped up because it was slammed down into the Bollinger bands. I expect it to keep moving further down in the lower $30’s. I’m playing SEP 07 35 Puts on it currently up around 10%. I plan to sell out once it hits around $35 if I’m correct. NYX is always a confusing stock. You’d think this stock would be doing what ICE is doing, but it isn’t. I’m in Calls and I think I’m going to lose my entire $7,000 investment if by Sept. it doesn’t move higher than $87. At its current price of around $74 I’m left dumbfounded and believing in the stock that makes me seem living life a bit bicariously. NYX has had almost 4 major falls with small peaks. This stock has to pop high if on Aug 2nd earnings are awesome and profits are up. It should pop past $90 because there hasn’t been much news on it. So if it surprises investors and analysis it could finally get back in the game and be a more volatile stock like it use to be. If you are currently playing Puts on it you are probably a lot more correct and wise thinking then myself.

As for the good old trailor park I bought. I’ve been working with my property manager. I’ve been trying to get the cable tv hooked back up because it was disconnected before I could transfer it into my name. Two of the tenants are refusing to pay their rent because they are not receiving cable tv. Can you believe this? I’ve never heard of such a moron of a tenant in my life! I told him to turn off their electricity and gas that day until they paid their rent or enforce them to be evicted that week. I’m not going to tollerate this type of behavior. Business is business and you pay your rent regardless if you get cable tv or not. I pay for their housing and all utilities. Cable tv is a luxury. I only see future problems with very low income low education tenants like this in the future. I’m trying to move all the tenants in and rent the trailors properly with full leases, applications, and deposits so I don’t get shitted on. If I’m going to make this profitable I need to take the steps to make it profitable and not deal with unacceptable tenants.


The Google monster gobbles another insect company up!

Google Inc. (GOOG @ $466) as you should know put in a bid for $3.1 billion for Double Click which could help increase the companies growth and monster advertising machine. GOOG is recently priced way below its target of the $550 price range and its PEG score is trading about under 1.00 which most analyst would consider it a bargain stock. Last year GOOG’s earnings were great and the stock sky rocketed up 35 pts and within 4 days dropped almost 40 pts. What does this mean? Maybe much of the stock price was already amped up into earnings and the stock price did reflect the earnings data which made the stock hype immediately start selling off. GOOG is the #1 tech/internet stock for the past 3 years. Although I can currently see the price steadily moving up with a strong trend I also feel GOOG will be hit the hardest when the next fly-by-night tech/.com’s come again. It isn’t like GOOG isn’t worth $466 and it does have billions in cash so it isn’t going bankrupt any time soon. Google is also doing the right things as a growing company to keep market share, sustain growth, and be around a very long time. But when the market does turn (maybe this summer?) I think GOOG is going to be hit hard again down to the low $400’s to possible $350’s to shoot back up to over $500 when the real investors step in that will drive the price back up. Also recently Google.com is starting to create a more personalized look for users like Yahoo.com uses. In away I think this is a bad idea, but also it could help generate more revenue for the giant if yahoo.com users would switch entirely to google.com if google.com gave that personalized web-home experience.

Earnings this week have been good so far expecially with McDonalds (non-tech) MCD @ $48. I previous said around 5 months back that MCD was a buy @ $43. MCD has steadily moved up the charts and showing positive growth for the giant franchise real estate/fastfood company.

Earnings I’m anxious to hear about is GRMN, AAPL, GOOG, BA, NTRI, and RIMM recently we already know increased profits. Bad news for AAPL that again they are delaying their new software Leopard and iPhone. I already know of many people ready to buy the iPhone regardless of price young and old. It is going to be a success. I hope they fix ANY and ALL bugs with it before it becomes internationally distributed. I know a select amount of individuals that do have ongoing problems with their iPods crashing or freezing and for the most part Apple had worked to satisfy those customers head on. Another company to look at for is Sears Holding Co. (SHLD) for retail sales outlook. Luxury retailers have been doing well again this year too. Many economists say the market will be a volatile choppy one and so far the waves have been pretty large. Look at NYX with it trading over 100 then down to 80 then back to 100 again. I’d consider that a sweet trade if I’d only focused on it. My concentration has been rather off the past 6 months and I need to get back into just focusing on stocks I previous traded before that I know much more about.

So far this year I’ve definitely ventured off into the hard rocky dangerous path by choice. It has helped my increase my goals faster, but also has worsened my ethics and rules for proper trading to live a long traders life. I’m slowly crippling myself the way I am trading and if I don’t start really pushing healthier trading habits I will die.


GOOG up 14 pts – technical chart was right

Today the entire market rose with GOOG up 14 pts. After looking at my charts yesterday I was right about Google.com short term down correction about to make a move up after yesterdays two white candle reversals. Jones Soda Co. (JSDA @ 23.50) moves up another 5% as well. There are no options on JSDA so I will be on the sideslines of this one since I’m in too many trades at the money (bad). Its up already 15-40% in the last 3 weeks. Some stocks when they are on a roll the momentum will just keep pushing them up. I guess its smart to say as long as your stock is going in the direction you want it to and there is no other factors to change its momentum then you can play it pretty safe. Look at GOOG. When it moves it usually moves fast and many points in one direction. I’ve gotten in it before already up 16 pts just to go up another 10 pts and make me a fat profit the following day. I suppose that is when you really need to get some balls (excuse me ladies) to buy and sell your stock.

Meanwhile NYX is following its uptrend. BA still sits at $89 and NTRI moves slightly at $53.25.


Current stock market conditions + NTRI, JSDA, GOOG

For the first trading day of April stocks are up probably from fund managers buying them up, but on 233min, Daily, and Weekly charts I don’t see any stock trades. It almost looks as if stocks are starting to turn over to fall or have a bearish rally. The two stocks that come out that do show a continuing uptrend are NTRI @ $53 and JSDA @ $22. Jones Soda Inc (JSDA) is currently up 10% so I’d wait to buy into this “hot stock” at the moment. To read more on it check this out. It is being compared to Hansen Inc. (HANS @ $38) to be the next big beverage profit machine. Google (GOOG @ $456) looks like it is turning over on the Daily chart, but the 233min chart shows it has been sold off and possible ready for its next run. As you see in the 55 minute chart below it shows GOOG being sold off for the past 7 days and today created two white soldiers that broke the short-term trend down. Possibly tomorrow we might see a large spread.

GOOG 55 Minute Technical Chart (click on chart to enlarge)

goog stock chart

I sold out of my NTRI JUL 50 CALLS today for a 30% profit in 1 month holding the option. It was a bad trade, I’m actually in a crap load of bad option plays, I should of waited and not bought into any position in the current market condition. So now I’m in a bind to slowly wait for stocks to swing in my favor to sell out at breaking even or profitable. For instance my BA APR 95 CALLS are definitely not going the way I thought Boeing Co. would move. It has already received around 5-7 big orders and the stock, although moved to $91, has not reflected all the positive news that will boost its earnings and increase its capital. BA sits at $89 pissing me off. I feel my option will run worthless and then in June its bullish historial run will happen so I definitely got in to early unless I am “lucky” this month to get a quick big run to sell me out of my position profitably. BA does look like it is at its low for its stock trend going up and down so it might have a run soon. Another option I bought NYX SEP 115 CALLS stock went down to $82 now back up to $97 talk about major loss. Again, if I would of waited for a better play I could of bought it way low and made a small fortune within a months time. Lessons I suppose you can only learn from losing money and trading during times you should be waiting on the sidelines of the field anxious to play. I do have a lot of time left in the CALL, but once it hits $105 I should be sold out + 100% though I could of been up around +500% if I waited to buy when there was a true reversal in momentum.

As for my two penny stocks CCNG.OB and WTVI.PK. They are doing what penny stocks do basically blow up and die. Although both companies are following through with their plans, gorwing their business, what they aren’t doing is growing investors confidence. both positions are down -50 to -75% and I’m not happy and will have to wait much longer to profit once they have respectable moves if they make any real money to surprise new investors to buy their stock. I plan to rebuy both CCNG.OB at the .0001 level. Recently a stock trader has mentioned ETIM.PK and its pretty funny that a company is selling “collectable casket/urns” nonetheless people actually do but crazy stuff for pets expecially. I liked the website and I’ll have to review more. People do die everyday and so do pets with limited lifespans so I could see how it could be a profitable business even when your “core” customers die too!


High Probability Trading by author Marcel Link + More

Just recently I started a new stock traders book High Probability Trading by author Marcel Link. So far I’ve gotten through the Preface. It isn’t very dry and it seems to push all the lessons and rules I have learned from many great traders. Marcel Link stresses disciplined qualities and I’m sure it will be a great read. I think reading about what you are most interested in being a success in is a step to becoming it, but as I’ve already reading actually trading with real money is the true test. I just recently finished the book How to Become a Stock Market Genius. It gave some interesting ideas I haven’t heard of before and I plan to practice them on paper to see how they work out. A book my friend is reading called How to Trade like Jesse Livermore is one of the best books I’ve just glanced at since I started reading it when he put it down. Many of the stock market rules in the book are the same I’ve been taught. I can’t wait to read it once he is finished so I can borrow it.

Recently the stock market, although choppy, has been feeling overall bullish since the economic reports and fed chairman Bernanke have been sending upbeat views. Employment is strong, oil is rising and stocks are rising with it, GDP is rising which is good because it could raise rates, but inflation remains flat and companies growth is still increasing which bulls want to hear.

NutriSystem Inc. (NTRI @ 52.41) has been going up a steady slow incline for the past week up around 4 pts since last Friday. If it hits $60 then my options trade for NTRI JUN 50 Calls will be up 100% and my GTC order should sell out. As for my other trades well they aren’t looking so good. For one thing, Boeing (BA @ 89) has just been hanging out at just $89 for too long. I own APR 95 Calls and my option is starting to decrease with the expiration date catching up. NYSE Group (NYX @ 93) has had a strong gain up to $97 and came back down to catch its breath. I expect it to go much higher and sell me out once it goes over $100 for my SEP 115 Calls. Another stock that has been flapping on the ground like a dieing fish is Trump Casinos (TRMP @18). It moved to $19 and has fallen down since after talking of a full sale of Trump Casinos to a larger casino. I’m wondering if a deal does go through how much of a premium would TRMP get bought out for? I’m wishing over $20 would sell me out of my JUL 25 Call position.

Long-term stocks that I own for speculative possible big gain chances are CCNG.OB and WTVI.PK both now trading below a penny, which sucks in my opinion. They have been both collecting and moving forward, but for some reason the stock price has been moving in the oppositive direction I think mostly because current investors are scared. I don’t know if I’m just crazy for buying the stock or if within 1-2 years the stock will move enough positively because something very good has happened and buying a very risky penny stock could pay off big for me. If not it is money I can lose and I went into the trade understand the high risk circumstances that the company could just declare bankruptcy for the 10th time (ha ha ha, jk).

A stock that has just hit me hard is Jones Soda Co. (JSDA @ 21.30). Recently browsing stocks like I usually do reading one article going into another I stumbled over a Jim Crammer article I believe of NTRI’s stock page. In the article it talked about small companies with lots of growth and with HANS a simular company was JSDA. I immediately went to go check it out to see the marketing behind the product at www.jonessoda.com website because if you can create an awesome looking product it has a greater chance of becoming successful in my opinion doing a lot of internet marketing. Once I saw it I immediately remembered it because I’ve actually had one before. The soda bottles are very distinct because they are colorful yet classy looking and fun. In my opinion a receipe for success. What I also found out researching the company on the website is that they really involve their customers with their product. Check out the www.myjonesmusic.com link and the www.myjones.com link at the bottom of the webpage. What you will find our brilliant gurrilla-type marketing ideas!!! Freaken awesome. A beverage company letting its customers put their own pictures on their favorite soda, offering blogs, and offering musicians a portal to express themselves can I say awesome again. Pepsi and Coke are maybe mega-huge billionaire companies, but they have no chance against a little companies like this. This company since its small can be more innovative and free thinking again a receipe for success. Anyway back to my story coming across Jones Soda. So after reading the article, checking out the Estimates, company website, and price of the stock I have to admit Jim Crammer could be really right on this company. Sure it has already moved considerably $1 – 21, but I feel an average investor who just gets in now still has much opportunity for future stocksplits and profiting. The only thing I wish the company did offer is stock options, what I enjoy trading, but maybe in time they will offer stock options. Jones Soda Co. is distributed most likely at your local store so go check it out they are delicious. And if you want more bang for your buck and feel like a super hero check out their energy drink Whoopass! Again back to the story, so later that day at work (because I had duty) I turned on the tv and Mad Money came on with the exact story I just read on Jim Crammer. This convinced me even more as a sign from God above that I should definitely look into the company more.

After checking out the site I noticed the company sponsored atheletes and talents. I filled out the application and I hope they contact me. I’ve been longboard surfing for 13 years and it would be awesome to wear a Jones Soda pop rashguard and represent Whoopass! logo. I’d get a kick out of it and I’m sure other surfers would ask me where to get it. I’m also curious if they have an affiliate marketing program because I’d definitely represent Whoopass! banner on my site to keep geeks like me awake while reading heavily financial books that can put you to sleep after just a few pages (try reading employment theory! omg!)

Well anyway be sure to drink a cold refreshing Jones rootbeer soda sometime to relax.
Also remember HASH is tomorrow at 3PM. I can’t wait! Definitely the Turkey trail this time!


Yahoo! CEO excited with results from web search advertising system.

Yahoo! CEO Terry Semel is smiling over Yahoo!’s new web search advertising system they have been working on. If the CEO is very happy and the ad revenue growth is increasing weekly then I think YHOO will be a definitely CALL option choice going into earnings. This CEO sounds really happy and you don’t hear about many very happy CEO’s these days on the stock market. The CEO quotes that this new web search advertising is simular’s to Google’s. That being said with YHOO growth being stagnet for the past couple of years this could really push its stock much higher like GOOG if YHOO could show mega growth with increased revenue from better search results with web users clicking on better results. YHOO is currently trading around $30. Could we see YHOO goto $100? $200? $500?

Recently NYX is starting to receive profitable reviews. It recently went up 3% and currently trading at $88. GOOG this week moved 15pts and is at $461. It has bounced twice off $440 support price and moved higher sideways.


Current option and penny stock plays I’m in.

Currently it looks like the Nasdaq could possibly be ready to start its next bull rally. Many stock charts are showing some selling, but long-term everyone is buying into different Tech sectors.

QQQQ’s Daily stock chart

qqqq stock chart

Recently I saw CCNG.OB was connected to WTVI.PK, but hasn’t been picked up yet. This company already has a good plan in place and is thinking ahead. They aren’t needy of wi-fitv.com to be a hit because they receive much of their business from other businesses buying their products to sell retail. It just recently had an order that will most likely give them repeat business and they are using an internet marketer which is a very smart thing to do if you want an internet presense to receive more exposure to big companies needing their products. I think they are taking the right steps to be successful. I also think their site is setup much nicer, more professional, and the image of the CEO is more updated and friendly stating “yeah I’m an older guy with a beard, but I’ve been in business for a long time and I can do the job right”. This is what it shows me. Alex’s picture from WTVI’s site looks to be from the 1980’s and its just a bad picture. I wish he’d update it. I see it as bad public view. If you say you are an internet video guru at least have a really nice looking image of yourself.

CCNG Daily stock chart

CCNG stock chart

Lately Casino’s have surprised me and they continue to profit and take peoples money. Atlantic City, NJ is making it more gambler friendly restructuring all the casinos and that is why I think LVS and TRMP are good casino plays. Currently the charts show a reversal in price for a possible move up either this month or in this year.

LVS Daily stock chart

LVS stock chart

TRMP Daily stock chart

TRMP stock chart

Last NYX exchange stock has been hammered down and recently shown some bullish trading. The DMI has just recently started to go down again when I saw it going up. This stock is kind of mixed and I’m a bit confused myself. The big trend shows it moving up and if Tech is in then I see this stock moving up higher.

NYX Daily Stock Chart

NYX stock chart